Proactively harness risk to create opportunity and avoid being caught by surprise.

Meeting emerging crises proactively in an era of continual surprise requires non-traditional forms of risk governance and decision-making. No person is as efficient as a machine, but no machine can beat the combined capabilities of an expert and machine. RAKSHA is bringing that revolutionary promise to the world’s toughest crises and contexts.

RAKSHA works at the frontier of decision intelligence and risk anticipation. While we provide global coverage, we have specialized experience and expertise in pre-crisis, crisis and/or complex environments. These contexts are particularly uncertain, complex, and volatile, and traditional decision-making often falls short. 

We offer comprehensive product and advisory services with rigorous mapping and analysis, giving you the information you need to make hard strategic, policy, and investment decisions. Our proprietary approach identifies emerging risks and hot spots for decision intelligence in a way that is inherently adaptive, ensuring decisions are precise and proactive in mitigating or navigating crises.

Who we work with

We help help senior leaders in business, government, and international bodies identify emerging risks that might impact positioning, systemic delivery and reputation in the near and mid-term.

Working with RAKSHA, our clients gain: 

  • access to an innovative risk assessment process and a different way of thinking

  • the tools to prepare for, understand, and mitigate complicated risks

  • an anticipatory decision intelligence plan for potential emerging risks

  • a deep understanding of systemic connections and patterns that aren’t evident without our tools

The secret to our success

RAKSHA’s offering is rooted in the identification of risk triggers and tipping points that might tip a context into a crisis. 

RAKSHA’s blended approach delivers anticipatory risk assessment, insight and analysis to clarify and support strategic, policy and investment choices.We combine the latest quantitative, AI-powered data analysis and modeling tools with the nuanced insights of  a growing global network of experts in foresight, intelligence and risk governance. Our work specializes in interconnected and converging risks, to mitigate bias, blind spots and siloed analysis.

We have a three prong framework:

Quantitative Data Sources

We leverage leading AI tools to continuously ingest and synthesize large streams of economic, geopolitical, social and other indicators in near-real time. This allows for the most up-to-date, comprehensive, and agile decision support. Our quantitative data is organized through a structured taxonomy to ensure a strong evidence base.

 

Qualitative Triangulation

These datasets serve as raw materials for the human production of high-level probabilistic analysis around a given context of interest – identifying critical actors, likely tipping points, and interlinkages. This analysis is produced in confidential partnership with a globally and intellectually diverse network of technical specialists, combining the best of human intelligence and data science.

Specifically we conduct: 

  • Third party analysis to cross-corroborate data and identify gaps and bias

  • Discreet expert interviews

  • Discreet field/localized interviews

  • Perceptions analysis to pull out stakeholder positionality

Rigorous Systems Mapping and Analytical Insights

Comprehensive research, systems and foresight analytics, which produce bespoke insights to produce a key set of articulated ‘Choice Points’ – key decisions for senior leaders and their teams. 

Importantly, we dive deep into geopolitical and economic factors to understand why and how certain risks are emerging the way they are. Importantly, we also analyze what they may evolve into, to ensure we’re prepared for emerging hot spots.

Confidence Ratings and Decision Schematics

We apply global standards and protocols to ensure a confidence rating for our analysis and trigger prompts to aid with decision-making.

White glove, bespoke services that inspire trust & confidence

  • » Bespoke, desk-based risk research that blends OSINT data and foresight-based risk horizon-scanning on client-specific emerging risk issues

    » Risk perceptions analysis to provide context on risk depending on stakeholder positionality

    *All analytical products include confidence ratings for rigor

  • » Holistic anticipatory risk research and analysis that blends both desk-based analysis as well as expert and localized interviews to identify near and mid-term implications as well as tipping points

    » Ongoing anticipatory risk monitoring on client-specific emerging risk issues

    » Risk scenario development and planning (with the option to co-design with clients) to pull out implication pathways on client parameters

    » Intelligence and risk dialogue convening for senior decision-makers across industries on nascent and emerging issues to develop commonality in joint solution pathways

    » Anticipatory strategy and policy design

  • » Geopolitical advice for new market strategy

    » Bespoke advisory for high-level convening to ensure forward-focused risk resilience

    » Bespoke confidential advisory (option for closed door) on geopolitical shifts, issues to monitor, emerging

    » Hot spots and potential risks in global issues.

    » Red-team advisory to stress-test client decision pathways

  • » Design and implementation advice to develop simple and flexible anticipatory risk monitoring frameworks and systems, including decision-making schematics based on leadership structures, risk appetites, and trigger points

    » Curated workshops and programs to help teams, stakeholders, and constituents co-design and validate risks analysis, prioritization and implications so that outcomes are contextually relevant to clients

    » Risk wargaming workshops to create visceral experiences for clients to engage and consume risk intelligence and foster decision-making in uncertainty

    » Capability workshops and programs to help risk practitioners build expertise and experience in the emerging field of risk anticipation

    » Tailored services for crisis preparedness and management, including scenario and contingency planning

    » Crisis Management Guidelines and Standard Operating Procedures

Get started in three simple steps

1 | Discovery call

We begin every engagement with a discovery call during which you’ll share your current situation, your goals, and where you need the most support. After learning a bit about you, we’ll go over our process and give you some time to ask your own questions. If it’s a good fit, the next step is to book an Intelligence Roadmap. 

2 | Book Intelligence Roadmap

The Intelligence Roadmap begins with an in-depth video call during which we’ll dig into your unique challenges and goals. We’ll then design a bespoke Roadmap with clear next steps for how our services can make your goals a reality. From there, if you want to work together, your Roadmap investment will be applied toward any of my recommended products or advisory services. 

Investment: $850*

*Includes the interview and a written brief that identifies your customized plan to achieve your goals. This cost is applied to any of my services moving forward. 

3 | Gain Access to Bespoke Intelligence & Risk Analysis  

Once we’ve clarified the most productive way to work together during the Intelligence Roadmap process, you’ll gain access to our unique and comprehensive product and advisory services. Your specific product and advisory service price will be determined during the creation of the Intelligence Roadmap.

“Aarathi has a rare perspective on the world, one based on her wealth of knowledge, experience and research. In the multiple intersections of her work, Aarathi grounds complexity in reality and in doing so, makes you look at things in a different way too. She is refreshingly honest, warm, and builds trust in difficult and complex processes”

— Caroline Holt, Director, Disaster & Climate, International Federation of Red Cross Red Crescent